Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots

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GBPackers5-3 · away
ATWeek 9Sun Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET
NEPatriots5-3 · home
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GB OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

NE DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.012
17th
EPA / play
Even · 1 place apart
+0.007
16thallowed
40.1%
28th
Success rate
NE defense by 14 places · clear edge
43.4%
14thallowed
Passing
+0.145
11th
Pass EPA / play
GB offense by 5 places
+0.074
16thallowed
43.3%
22nd
Pass success rate
Even · 1 place apart
46.9%
21stallowed
9.4%
4th
Explosive pass rate
GB offense by 17 places · clear edge
8.1%
21stallowed
4.3%
7th
Sack rate
Strength on strength · 2 places apart
7.9%
5thmade
Rushing
−0.266
32nd
Rush EPA / play
NE defense by 20 places · clear edge
−0.104
12thallowed
33.3%
29th
Run success rate
NE defense by 18 places · clear edge
37.6%
11thallowed
6.5%
31st
Explosive run rate
NE defense by 21 places · clear edge
9.7%
10thallowed
21.6%
27th
Stuff rate
NE defense by 5 places
16.7%
T-22ndmade
Turnovers
12.4%
19th
Turnovers
Even · 3 places apart
9.4%
T-22ndtakeaways
Downs
−0.067
25th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
NE defense by 11 places
+0.005
14thallowed
+0.245
4th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
GB offense by 11 places
+0.029
15thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

GB offense over NE defense

Explosive pass4th v 21stPass success22nd v 21stSacks7th v 5thTurnovers19th v T-22ndStuffs27th v T-22ndRun success29th v 11thExplosive run31st v 10th
  • GB offense
  • NE defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 1, defense on 3, 3 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Green Bay Packers
QBGB
Jordan Love
EPA / dropback
+0.12
CPOE
−1.1
Pass yards
2,246
TD–INT
16-6
RBGB
MarShawn Lloyd
Carries
57
Rush yards
149
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
31.6%
RBGB
Josh Jacobs
Carries
32
Rush yards
75
EPA / carry
−0.15
Success
37.5%
WRGB
Matthew Golden
Targets
82
Rec yards
619
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.08
WRGB
Christian Watson
Targets
66
Rec yards
708
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.46
TEGB
Tucker Kraft
Targets
49
Rec yards
350
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.44
WRGB
Skyy Moore
Targets
14
Rec yards
35
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.29
New England Patriots
QBNE
Drake Maye
EPA / dropback
+0.21
CPOE
+7.3
Pass yards
1,983
TD–INT
15-8
RBNE
Rhamondre Stevenson
Carries
96
Rush yards
367
EPA / carry
−0.05
Success
39.6%
RBNE
TreVeyon Henderson
Carries
52
Rush yards
203
EPA / carry
−0.25
Success
32.7%
WRNE
DeMario Douglas
Targets
37
Rec yards
332
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.57
TENE
Hunter Henry
Targets
34
Rec yards
326
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.55
WRNE
Romeo Doubs
Targets
24
Rec yards
261
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.52
WRNE
Mack Hollins
Targets
20
Rec yards
209
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.64

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (GB has played 8 games, NE 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.