New England Patriots at New York Jets

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NEPatriots5-3 · away
ATWeek 16Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET
NYJJets2-6 · home
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NE OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

NYJ DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.059
8th
EPA / play
NE offense by 13 places · clear edge
+0.044
21stallowed
45.6%
10th
Success rate
NE offense by 14 places · clear edge
46.0%
24thallowed
Passing
+0.217
6th
Pass EPA / play
NE offense by 22 places · clear edge
+0.193
28thallowed
52.5%
3rd
Pass success rate
NE offense by 21 places · clear edge
49.2%
24thallowed
8.3%
8th
Explosive pass rate
Even · 2 places apart
6.7%
10thallowed
6.3%
16th
Sack rate
NYJ defense by 9 places
7.7%
7thmade
Rushing
−0.169
26th
Rush EPA / play
NYJ defense by 18 places · clear edge
−0.153
8thallowed
35.6%
26th
Run success rate
NYJ defense by 5 places
41.8%
21stallowed
12.5%
T-10th
Explosive run rate
NE offense by 5 places
10.2%
15thallowed
17.3%
15th
Stuff rate
NE offense by 7 places
16.7%
T-22ndmade
Turnovers
17.6%
31st
Turnovers
NYJ defense by 10 places
9.5%
21sttakeaways
Downs
+0.034
15th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
NE offense by 5 places
+0.028
20thallowed
+0.136
13th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
NE offense by 8 places
+0.095
21stallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

NE offense over NYJ defense

Explosive pass8th v 10thPass success3rd v 24thSacks16th v 7thTurnovers31st v 21stStuffs15th v T-22ndRun success26th v 21stExplosive runT-10th v 15th
  • NE offense
  • NYJ defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 3, defense on 3, 1 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

New England Patriots
QBNE
Drake Maye
EPA / dropback
+0.21
CPOE
+7.3
Pass yards
1,983
TD–INT
15-8
RBNE
Rhamondre Stevenson
Carries
96
Rush yards
367
EPA / carry
−0.05
Success
39.6%
RBNE
TreVeyon Henderson
Carries
52
Rush yards
203
EPA / carry
−0.25
Success
32.7%
WRNE
DeMario Douglas
Targets
37
Rec yards
332
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.57
TENE
Hunter Henry
Targets
34
Rec yards
326
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.55
WRNE
Romeo Doubs
Targets
24
Rec yards
261
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.52
WRNE
Mack Hollins
Targets
20
Rec yards
209
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.64
New York Jets
QBNYJ
Geno Smith
EPA / dropback
+0.13
CPOE
+6.0
Pass yards
1,913
TD–INT
12-3
RBNYJ
Braelon Allen
Carries
112
Rush yards
565
EPA / carry
+0.01
Success
43.8%
RBNYJ
Breece Hall
Carries
51
Rush yards
163
EPA / carry
−0.17
Success
33.3%
WRNYJ
Garrett Wilson
Targets
63
Rec yards
527
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.41
WRNYJ
Adonai Mitchell
Targets
27
Rec yards
265
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.71
TENYJ
Kenyon Sadiq
Targets
27
Rec yards
186
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.22
TENYJ
Mason Taylor
Targets
23
Rec yards
136
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.17

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (NE has played 8 games, NYJ 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.