Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons

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BALRavens3-1 · away
ATWeek 5Sun Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET
ATLFalcons2-2 · home
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BAL OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

ATL DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.160
3rd
EPA / play
BAL offense by 5 places
−0.055
8thallowed
50.2%
2nd
Success rate
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
37.8%
3rdallowed
Passing
+0.328
2nd
Pass EPA / play
BAL offense by 10 places
+0.035
12thallowed
55.3%
2nd
Pass success rate
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
40.7%
3rdallowed
10.6%
2nd
Explosive pass rate
BAL offense by 14 places · clear edge
7.5%
16thallowed
6.3%
T-17th
Sack rate
BAL offense by 9 places
3.8%
26thmade
Rushing
−0.032
8th
Rush EPA / play
ATL defense by 7 places
−0.307
1stallowed
44.3%
9th
Run success rate
ATL defense by 7 places
29.6%
2ndallowed
16.5%
3rd
Explosive run rate
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
2.8%
2ndallowed
18.9%
21st
Stuff rate
ATL defense by 15 places · clear edge
21.5%
6thmade
Turnovers
4.4%
T-5th
Turnovers
BAL offense by 20 places · clear edge
6.8%
25thtakeaways
Downs
+0.269
1st
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
−0.120
2ndallowed
−0.316
31st
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
ATL defense by 10 places
+0.130
21stallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

BAL offense over ATL defense

Explosive pass2nd v 16thPass success2nd v 3rdSacksT-17th v 26thTurnoversT-5th v 25thStuffs21st v 6thRun success9th v 2ndExplosive run3rd v 2nd
  • BAL offense
  • ATL defense
  • ranks 5+ apart
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 3, defense on 2, 2 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Baltimore Ravens
QBBAL
Lamar Jackson
EPA / dropback
+0.38
CPOE
+8.1
Pass yards
967
TD–INT
6-1
RBBAL
Derrick Henry
Carries
89
Rush yards
374
EPA / carry
−0.05
Success
44.9%
RBBAL
Justice Hill
Carries
14
Rush yards
60
EPA / carry
−0.01
Success
35.7%
TEBAL
Mark Andrews
Targets
24
Rec yards
149
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.30
WRBAL
Zay Flowers
Targets
22
Rec yards
352
TD
2
EPA / target
+1.09
WRBAL
Rashod Bateman
Targets
15
Rec yards
171
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.73
WRBAL
Chris Moore
Targets
6
Rec yards
63
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.39
Atlanta Falcons
QBATL
Michael Penix Jr.
EPA / dropback
+0.42
CPOE
+5.5
Pass yards
479
TD–INT
2-1
RBATL
Bijan Robinson
Carries
85
Rush yards
494
EPA / carry
+0.13
Success
54.1%
RBATL
Brian Robinson
Carries
44
Rush yards
194
EPA / carry
+0.20
Success
50.0%
WRATL
Drake London
Targets
25
Rec yards
370
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.93
WRATL
Jahan Dotson
Targets
13
Rec yards
95
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.90
TEATL
Kyle Pitts
Targets
9
Rec yards
67
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.67
TEATL
Austin Hooper
Targets
7
Rec yards
40
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.93

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 5 (BAL has played 4 games, ATL 4). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.