Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

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BALRavens4-4 · away
ATWeek 17Thu Dec 31 · 8:15 PM ET
CINBengals5-2 · home
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BAL OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

CIN DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.017
15th
EPA / play
Even · same rank
−0.001
15thallowed
45.0%
12th
Success rate
BAL offense by 10 places
44.8%
22ndallowed
Passing
+0.089
16th
Pass EPA / play
Even · 3 places apart
+0.038
13thallowed
47.7%
14th
Pass success rate
BAL offense by 12 places
49.7%
26thallowed
7.0%
21st
Explosive pass rate
Even · 2 places apart
8.0%
19thallowed
8.8%
27th
Sack rate
CIN defense by 24 places · clear edge
8.7%
3rdmade
Rushing
−0.080
12th
Rush EPA / play
BAL offense by 10 places
−0.074
22ndallowed
41.2%
13th
Run success rate
CIN defense by 7 places
35.8%
6thallowed
14.2%
7th
Explosive run rate
BAL offense by 23 places · clear edge
14.8%
30thallowed
20.1%
24th
Stuff rate
CIN defense by 23 places · clear edge
25.3%
1stmade
Turnovers
8.9%
T-10th
Turnovers
CIN defense by 5 places
14.7%
5thtakeaways
Downs
+0.062
11th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
Even · same rank
−0.029
11thallowed
−0.139
26th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
CIN defense by 7 places
+0.070
19thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

BAL offense over CIN defense

Explosive pass21st v 19thPass success14th v 26thSacks27th v 3rdTurnoversT-10th v 5thStuffs24th v 1stRun success13th v 6thExplosive run7th v 30th
  • BAL offense
  • CIN defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 2, defense on 4, 1 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the grey ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Baltimore Ravens
QBBAL
Tyler Huntley
EPA / dropback
−0.03
CPOE
+0.9
Pass yards
727
TD–INT
4-1
RBBAL
Derrick Henry
Carries
158
Rush yards
632
EPA / carry
−0.12
Success
38.6%
RBBAL
Justice Hill
Carries
24
Rush yards
155
EPA / carry
+0.16
Success
41.7%
WRBAL
Zay Flowers
Targets
58
Rec yards
608
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.44
TEBAL
Mark Andrews
Targets
41
Rec yards
218
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.06
WRBAL
Rashod Bateman
Targets
29
Rec yards
288
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.61
WRBAL
Ja'Kobi Lane
Targets
14
Rec yards
89
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.28
Cincinnati Bengals
QBCIN
Joe Burrow
EPA / dropback
+0.24
CPOE
+9.0
Pass yards
2,115
TD–INT
20-6
RBCIN
Chase Brown
Carries
94
Rush yards
340
EPA / carry
−0.17
Success
37.2%
RBCIN
Samaje Perine
Carries
35
Rush yards
136
EPA / carry
−0.06
Success
45.7%
WRCIN
Tee Higgins
Targets
61
Rec yards
726
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.87
WRCIN
Ja'Marr Chase
Targets
61
Rec yards
492
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.46
TECIN
Mike Gesicki
Targets
24
Rec yards
241
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.79
WRCIN
Dohnte Meyers
Targets
23
Rec yards
175
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.12

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (BAL has played 8 games, CIN 7). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.