Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

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DETLions5-2 · away
ATWeek 18Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
GBPackers5-3 · home
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DET OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

GB DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.116
5th
EPA / play
Strength on strength · 2 places apart
−0.043
7thallowed
49.5%
3rd
Success rate
DET offense by 16 places · clear edge
44.4%
19thallowed
Passing
+0.264
3rd
Pass EPA / play
DET offense by 7 places
−0.004
10thallowed
51.4%
4th
Pass success rate
DET offense by 9 places
45.3%
13thallowed
7.9%
12th
Explosive pass rate
GB defense by 10 places
4.1%
2ndallowed
6.1%
14th
Sack rate
Even · 1 place apart
7.2%
13thmade
Rushing
−0.087
14th
Rush EPA / play
Even · 3 places apart
−0.108
11thallowed
46.8%
3rd
Run success rate
DET offense by 24 places · clear edge
42.8%
27thallowed
15.4%
2nd
Explosive run rate
DET offense by 5 places
8.7%
7thallowed
20.3%
25th
Stuff rate
GB defense by 21 places · clear edge
22.4%
4thmade
Turnovers
5.4%
T-3rd
Turnovers
Strength on strength · 2 places apart
16.7%
T-1sttakeaways
Downs
+0.118
3rd
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
Strength on strength · same rank
−0.105
3rdallowed
+0.121
14th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
DET offense by 10 places
+0.137
24thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

DET offense over GB defense

Explosive pass12th v 2ndPass success4th v 13thSacks14th v 13thTurnoversT-3rd v T-1stStuffs25th v 4thRun success3rd v 27thExplosive run2nd v 7th
  • DET offense
  • GB defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 3, defense on 2, 2 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Detroit Lions
QBDET
Jared Goff
EPA / dropback
+0.24
CPOE
+1.1
Pass yards
1,964
TD–INT
15-1
RBDET
Jahmyr Gibbs
Carries
157
Rush yards
773
EPA / carry
−0.02
Success
49.0%
RBDET
Sione Vaki
Carries
27
Rush yards
121
EPA / carry
−0.10
Success
40.7%
WRDET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Targets
76
Rec yards
571
TD
5
EPA / target
+0.31
WRDET
Jameson Williams
Targets
44
Rec yards
437
TD
5
EPA / target
+0.54
TEDET
Sam LaPorta
Targets
44
Rec yards
367
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.74
WRDET
Isaac TeSlaa
Targets
21
Rec yards
197
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.37
Green Bay Packers
QBGB
Jordan Love
EPA / dropback
+0.12
CPOE
−1.1
Pass yards
2,246
TD–INT
16-6
RBGB
MarShawn Lloyd
Carries
57
Rush yards
149
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
31.6%
RBGB
Josh Jacobs
Carries
32
Rush yards
75
EPA / carry
−0.15
Success
37.5%
WRGB
Matthew Golden
Targets
82
Rec yards
619
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.08
WRGB
Christian Watson
Targets
66
Rec yards
708
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.46
TEGB
Tucker Kraft
Targets
49
Rec yards
350
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.44
WRGB
Skyy Moore
Targets
14
Rec yards
35
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.29

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (DET has played 7 games, GB 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.