Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers

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HOUTexans2-5 · away
ATWeek 17Mon Jan 4 · 8:15 PM ET
GBPackers5-3 · home
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HOU OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

GB DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.033
13th
EPA / play
GB defense by 6 places
−0.043
7thallowed
43.5%
15th
Success rate
Even · 4 places apart
44.4%
19thallowed
Passing
+0.141
12th
Pass EPA / play
Even · 2 places apart
−0.004
10thallowed
48.6%
11th
Pass success rate
Even · 2 places apart
45.3%
13thallowed
9.2%
5th
Explosive pass rate
Strength on strength · 3 places apart
4.1%
2ndallowed
5.7%
11th
Sack rate
Even · 2 places apart
7.2%
13thmade
Rushing
−0.167
25th
Rush EPA / play
GB defense by 14 places · clear edge
−0.108
11thallowed
34.0%
28th
Run success rate
Weakness on weakness · 1 place apart
42.8%
27thallowed
8.8%
24th
Explosive run rate
GB defense by 17 places · clear edge
8.7%
7thallowed
21.2%
26th
Stuff rate
GB defense by 22 places · clear edge
22.4%
4thmade
Turnovers
4.0%
2nd
Turnovers
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
16.7%
T-1sttakeaways
Downs
+0.074
7th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
Strength on strength · 4 places apart
−0.105
3rdallowed
−0.121
23rd
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
Even · 1 place apart
+0.137
24thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

HOU offense over GB defense

Explosive pass5th v 2ndPass success11th v 13thSacks11th v 13thTurnovers2nd v T-1stStuffs26th v 4thRun success28th v 27thExplosive run24th v 7th
  • HOU offense
  • GB defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 0, defense on 2, 5 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the grey ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Houston Texans
QBHOU
C.J. Stroud
EPA / dropback
+0.14
CPOE
+2.3
Pass yards
1,867
TD–INT
11-1
RBHOU
Woody Marks
Carries
77
Rush yards
271
EPA / carry
−0.18
Success
33.8%
RBHOU
David Montgomery
Carries
52
Rush yards
138
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
25.0%
TEHOU
Dalton Schultz
Targets
43
Rec yards
322
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.23
WRHOU
Xavier Hutchinson
Targets
40
Rec yards
258
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.04
WRHOU
Nico Collins
Targets
35
Rec yards
329
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.57
WRHOU
Jaylin Noel
Targets
23
Rec yards
331
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.80
Green Bay Packers
QBGB
Jordan Love
EPA / dropback
+0.12
CPOE
−1.1
Pass yards
2,246
TD–INT
16-6
RBGB
MarShawn Lloyd
Carries
57
Rush yards
149
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
31.6%
RBGB
Josh Jacobs
Carries
32
Rush yards
75
EPA / carry
−0.15
Success
37.5%
WRGB
Matthew Golden
Targets
82
Rec yards
619
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.08
WRGB
Christian Watson
Targets
66
Rec yards
708
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.46
TEGB
Tucker Kraft
Targets
49
Rec yards
350
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.44
WRGB
Skyy Moore
Targets
14
Rec yards
35
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.29

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (HOU has played 7 games, GB 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.