Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

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JAXJaguars5-2 · away
ATWeek 18Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
INDColts2-6 · home
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JAX OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

IND DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.121
3rd
EPA / play
JAX offense by 20 places · clear edge
+0.048
23rdallowed
46.4%
9th
Success rate
Even · 3 places apart
42.6%
12thallowed
Passing
+0.223
5th
Pass EPA / play
JAX offense by 15 places · clear edge
+0.097
20thallowed
49.4%
9th
Pass success rate
Even · 1 place apart
43.5%
8thallowed
10.5%
2nd
Explosive pass rate
JAX offense by 20 places · clear edge
8.3%
22ndallowed
6.1%
15th
Sack rate
Even · 2 places apart
6.5%
17thmade
Rushing
−0.005
6th
Rush EPA / play
JAX offense by 23 places · clear edge
−0.020
29thallowed
42.7%
11th
Run success rate
JAX offense by 9 places
41.5%
20thallowed
10.4%
16th
Explosive run rate
Even · 2 places apart
11.0%
18thallowed
14.7%
4th
Stuff rate
JAX offense by 25 places · clear edge
13.9%
29thmade
Turnovers
7.0%
7th
Turnovers
JAX offense by 24 places · clear edge
4.6%
31sttakeaways
Downs
+0.107
4th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
JAX offense by 23 places · clear edge
+0.076
27thallowed
+0.185
9th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
Even · 2 places apart
−0.047
11thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

JAX offense over IND defense

Explosive pass2nd v 22ndPass success9th v 8thSacks15th v 17thTurnovers7th v 31stStuffs4th v 29thRun success11th v 20thExplosive run16th v 18th
  • JAX offense
  • IND defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 4, defense on 0, 3 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the grey ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Jacksonville Jaguars
QBJAX
Trevor Lawrence
EPA / dropback
+0.28
CPOE
+3.9
Pass yards
1,690
TD–INT
17-4
RBJAX
Bhayshul Tuten
Carries
110
Rush yards
492
EPA / carry
0.00
Success
41.8%
RBJAX
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Carries
45
Rush yards
209
EPA / carry
+0.12
Success
44.4%
WRJAX
Parker Washington
Targets
48
Rec yards
432
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.45
TEJAX
Brenton Strange
Targets
35
Rec yards
334
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.40
WRJAX
Jakobi Meyers
Targets
31
Rec yards
309
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.55
WRJAX
Brian Thomas Jr.
Targets
21
Rec yards
117
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.26
Indianapolis Colts
QBIND
Daniel Jones
EPA / dropback
−0.20
CPOE
−3.7
Pass yards
1,542
TD–INT
5-9
RBIND
Jonathan Taylor
Carries
148
Rush yards
610
EPA / carry
−0.06
Success
39.9%
RBIND
Seth McGowan
Carries
37
Rush yards
163
EPA / carry
0.00
Success
37.8%
WRIND
Josh Downs
Targets
51
Rec yards
330
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.29
WRIND
Keenan Allen
Targets
50
Rec yards
325
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.22
TEIND
Tyler Warren
Targets
46
Rec yards
231
TD
2
EPA / target
−0.25
WRIND
Laquon Treadwell
Targets
28
Rec yards
215
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.09

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (JAX has played 7 games, IND 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.