Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets

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MINVikings6-1 · away
ATWeek 17Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET
NYJJets2-6 · home
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MIN OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

NYJ DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
−0.094
29th
EPA / play
NYJ defense by 8 places
+0.044
21stallowed
38.0%
30th
Success rate
NYJ defense by 6 places
46.0%
24thallowed
Passing
−0.016
25th
Pass EPA / play
Weakness on weakness · 3 places apart
+0.193
28thallowed
40.6%
28th
Pass success rate
Even · 4 places apart
49.2%
24thallowed
7.2%
18th
Explosive pass rate
NYJ defense by 8 places
6.7%
10thallowed
9.8%
29th
Sack rate
NYJ defense by 22 places · clear edge
7.7%
7thmade
Rushing
−0.206
28th
Rush EPA / play
NYJ defense by 20 places · clear edge
−0.153
8thallowed
34.1%
27th
Run success rate
NYJ defense by 6 places
41.8%
21stallowed
11.0%
14th
Explosive run rate
Even · 1 place apart
10.2%
15thallowed
17.2%
14th
Stuff rate
MIN offense by 8 places
16.7%
T-22ndmade
Turnovers
6.6%
6th
Turnovers
MIN offense by 15 places · clear edge
9.5%
21sttakeaways
Downs
−0.093
27th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
NYJ defense by 7 places
+0.028
20thallowed
−0.117
22nd
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
Even · 1 place apart
+0.095
21stallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

MIN offense over NYJ defense

Explosive pass18th v 10thPass success28th v 24thSacks29th v 7thTurnovers6th v 21stStuffs14th v T-22ndRun success27th v 21stExplosive run14th v 15th
  • MIN offense
  • NYJ defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 2, defense on 3, 2 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Minnesota Vikings
QBMIN
Kyler Murray
EPA / dropback
−0.05
CPOE
+2.0
Pass yards
1,022
TD–INT
5-3
RBMIN
Aaron Jones
Carries
110
Rush yards
458
EPA / carry
−0.19
Success
35.5%
RBMIN
Jordan Mason
Carries
38
Rush yards
147
EPA / carry
−0.24
Success
26.3%
WRMIN
Justin Jefferson
Targets
40
Rec yards
335
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.52
TEMIN
T.J. Hockenson
Targets
37
Rec yards
295
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.67
WRMIN
Jordan Addison
Targets
33
Rec yards
249
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.28
WRMIN
Jauan Jennings
Targets
10
Rec yards
54
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.45
New York Jets
QBNYJ
Geno Smith
EPA / dropback
+0.13
CPOE
+6.0
Pass yards
1,913
TD–INT
12-3
RBNYJ
Braelon Allen
Carries
112
Rush yards
565
EPA / carry
+0.01
Success
43.8%
RBNYJ
Breece Hall
Carries
51
Rush yards
163
EPA / carry
−0.17
Success
33.3%
WRNYJ
Garrett Wilson
Targets
63
Rec yards
527
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.41
WRNYJ
Adonai Mitchell
Targets
27
Rec yards
265
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.71
TENYJ
Kenyon Sadiq
Targets
27
Rec yards
186
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.22
TENYJ
Mason Taylor
Targets
23
Rec yards
136
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.17

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (MIN has played 7 games, NYJ 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.