Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

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TBBuccaneers3-5 · away
ATWeek 18Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
NOSaints2-5 · home
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TB OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

NO DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
−0.091
28th
EPA / play
Weakness on weakness · 2 places apart
+0.076
26thallowed
41.1%
26th
Success rate
TB offense by 5 places
48.9%
31stallowed
Passing
−0.151
30th
Pass EPA / play
NO defense by 7 places
+0.114
23rdallowed
38.8%
30th
Pass success rate
NO defense by 5 places
49.5%
25thallowed
4.7%
30th
Explosive pass rate
NO defense by 5 places
8.7%
25thallowed
10.0%
30th
Sack rate
NO defense by 18 places · clear edge
7.3%
12thmade
Rushing
−0.023
7th
Rush EPA / play
TB offense by 25 places · clear edge
+0.019
32ndallowed
43.8%
7th
Run success rate
TB offense by 25 places · clear edge
48.1%
32ndallowed
14.6%
6th
Explosive run rate
TB offense by 19 places · clear edge
13.1%
25thallowed
15.4%
6th
Stuff rate
TB offense by 25 places · clear edge
13.5%
31stmade
Turnovers
13.2%
20th
Turnovers
NO defense by 5 places
11.4%
15thtakeaways
Downs
−0.056
23rd
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
TB offense by 8 places
+0.088
31stallowed
−0.195
29th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
NO defense by 11 places
+0.052
18thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

TB offense over NO defense

Explosive pass30th v 25thPass success30th v 25thSacks30th v 12thTurnovers20th v 15thStuffs6th v 31stRun success7th v 32ndExplosive run6th v 25th
  • TB offense
  • NO defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 3, defense on 4, 0 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
QBTB
Baker Mayfield
EPA / dropback
−0.23
CPOE
−0.9
Pass yards
679
TD–INT
3-2
RBTB
Bucky Irving
Carries
147
Rush yards
728
EPA / carry
0.00
Success
42.2%
RBTB
Kenny Gainwell
Carries
58
Rush yards
289
EPA / carry
+0.01
Success
46.6%
WRTB
Emeka Egbuka
Targets
49
Rec yards
240
TD
2
EPA / target
−0.26
WRTB
Chris Godwin Jr.
Targets
35
Rec yards
243
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.19
TETB
Cade Otton
Targets
30
Rec yards
186
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.16
WRTB
Ted Hurst III
Targets
24
Rec yards
168
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.01
New Orleans Saints
QBNO
Tyler Shough
EPA / dropback
+0.03
CPOE
−0.1
Pass yards
1,721
TD–INT
13-6
RBNO
Kendre Miller
Carries
57
Rush yards
159
EPA / carry
−0.29
Success
24.6%
RBNO
Alvin Kamara
Carries
41
Rush yards
125
EPA / carry
−0.14
Success
26.8%
WRNO
Chris Olave
Targets
71
Rec yards
636
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.53
WRNO
Devaughn Vele
Targets
48
Rec yards
348
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.46
TENO
Juwan Johnson
Targets
37
Rec yards
255
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.20
WRNO
Bryce Lance
Targets
22
Rec yards
78
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.55

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (TB has played 8 games, NO 7). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.