Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

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TENTitans1-7 · away
ATWeek 18Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET
HOUTexans2-5 · home
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TEN OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

HOU DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
−0.076
26th
EPA / play
Even · 4 places apart
+0.047
22ndallowed
42.0%
22nd
Success rate
HOU defense by 14 places · clear edge
41.9%
8thallowed
Passing
−0.060
26th
Pass EPA / play
Even · 4 places apart
+0.103
22ndallowed
43.6%
21st
Pass success rate
HOU defense by 18 places · clear edge
41.5%
3rdallowed
5.4%
29th
Explosive pass rate
Weakness on weakness · 3 places apart
10.1%
32ndallowed
5.0%
9th
Sack rate
Even · 3 places apart
7.9%
6thmade
Rushing
−0.103
18th
Rush EPA / play
TEN offense by 9 places
−0.045
27thallowed
39.2%
17th
Run success rate
TEN offense by 9 places
42.5%
26thallowed
9.7%
20th
Explosive run rate
HOU defense by 14 places · clear edge
8.6%
6thallowed
17.0%
13th
Stuff rate
TEN offense by 17 places · clear edge
13.6%
30thmade
Turnovers
14.5%
26th
Turnovers
Weakness on weakness · 2 places apart
8.0%
28thtakeaways
Downs
−0.090
26th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
HOU defense by 5 places
+0.033
21stallowed
−0.058
19th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
Even · 3 places apart
+0.105
22ndallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

TEN offense over HOU defense

Explosive pass29th v 32ndPass success21st v 3rdSacks9th v 6thTurnovers26th v 28thStuffs13th v 30thRun success17th v 26thExplosive run20th v 6th
  • TEN offense
  • HOU defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 2, defense on 2, 3 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Tennessee Titans
QBTEN
Cam Ward
EPA / dropback
−0.10
CPOE
−0.9
Pass yards
1,483
TD–INT
6-5
RBTEN
Tony Pollard
Carries
133
Rush yards
595
EPA / carry
−0.06
Success
41.4%
RBTEN
Tyjae Spears
Carries
18
Rush yards
66
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
33.3%
WRTEN
Carnell Tate
Targets
51
Rec yards
413
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.20
WRTEN
Wan'Dale Robinson
Targets
50
Rec yards
262
TD
3
EPA / target
−0.01
WRTEN
Elic Ayomanor
Targets
26
Rec yards
211
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.22
TETEN
Gunnar Helm
Targets
26
Rec yards
160
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.07
Houston Texans
QBHOU
C.J. Stroud
EPA / dropback
+0.14
CPOE
+2.3
Pass yards
1,867
TD–INT
11-1
RBHOU
Woody Marks
Carries
77
Rush yards
271
EPA / carry
−0.18
Success
33.8%
RBHOU
David Montgomery
Carries
52
Rush yards
138
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
25.0%
TEHOU
Dalton Schultz
Targets
43
Rec yards
322
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.23
WRHOU
Xavier Hutchinson
Targets
40
Rec yards
258
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.04
WRHOU
Nico Collins
Targets
35
Rec yards
329
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.57
WRHOU
Jaylin Noel
Targets
23
Rec yards
331
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.80

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (TEN has played 8 games, HOU 7). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.