Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

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BUFBills3-1 · away
ATWeek 5Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET
LARams2-2 · home
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BUF OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

LA DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.195
2nd
EPA / play
Strength on strength · 2 places apart
−0.098
4thallowed
47.8%
9th
Success rate
Even · 4 places apart
40.2%
5thallowed
Passing
+0.270
4th
Pass EPA / play
Strength on strength · same rank
−0.075
4thallowed
45.0%
20th
Pass success rate
LA defense by 12 places
42.9%
8thallowed
11.3%
1st
Explosive pass rate
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
3.4%
2ndallowed
7.0%
19th
Sack rate
Even · 3 places apart
5.2%
22ndmade
Rushing
+0.081
4th
Rush EPA / play
BUF offense by 6 places
−0.130
10thallowed
52.0%
1st
Run success rate
BUF offense by 8 places
36.5%
9thallowed
19.0%
1st
Explosive run rate
Strength on strength · 3 places apart
7.7%
4thallowed
10.3%
2nd
Stuff rate
BUF offense by 24 places · clear edge
14.0%
26thmade
Turnovers
16.3%
25th
Turnovers
Even · 1 place apart
7.1%
24thtakeaways
Downs
+0.116
6th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
BUF offense by 14 places · clear edge
+0.020
20thallowed
+0.556
1st
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
Strength on strength · 1 place apart
−0.499
2ndallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

BUF offense over LA defense

Explosive pass1st v 2ndPass success20th v 8thSacks19th v 22ndTurnovers25th v 24thStuffs2nd v 26thRun success1st v 9thExplosive run1st v 4th
  • BUF offense
  • LA defense
  • ranks 5+ apart
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 2, defense on 1, 4 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Buffalo Bills
QBBUF
Josh Allen
EPA / dropback
+0.29
CPOE
+6.0
Pass yards
1,039
TD–INT
6-3
RBBUF
James Cook
Carries
70
Rush yards
421
EPA / carry
+0.13
Success
54.3%
RBBUF
Ray Davis
Carries
2
Rush yards
6
EPA / carry
−0.16
Success
0.0%
WRBUF
Khalil Shakir
Targets
23
Rec yards
166
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.06
WRBUF
DJ Moore
Targets
20
Rec yards
178
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.32
TEBUF
Dalton Kincaid
Targets
19
Rec yards
270
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.62
WRBUF
Keon Coleman
Targets
16
Rec yards
217
TD
1
EPA / target
+1.18
Los Angeles Rams
QBLA
Matthew Stafford
EPA / dropback
+0.05
CPOE
−0.1
Pass yards
1,189
TD–INT
6-6
RBLA
Kyren Williams
Carries
54
Rush yards
294
EPA / carry
+0.04
Success
46.3%
RBLA
Blake Corum
Carries
33
Rush yards
162
EPA / carry
−0.01
Success
45.5%
WRLA
Davante Adams
Targets
38
Rec yards
390
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.39
WRLA
Puka Nacua
Targets
21
Rec yards
199
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.05
TELA
Tyler Higbee
Targets
19
Rec yards
141
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.12
WRLA
Konata Mumpfield
Targets
14
Rec yards
112
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.01

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 5 (BUF has played 4 games, LA 4). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.