Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

← This week’s matchups
CINBengals5-2 · away
ATWeek 9Sun Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET
ATLFalcons3-5 · home
Share this matchup
Open share card →
CIN OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

ATL DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.116
6th
EPA / play
Even · 4 places apart
−0.038
10thallowed
50.2%
2nd
Success rate
CIN offense by 11 places
43.3%
13thallowed
Passing
+0.231
4th
Pass EPA / play
CIN offense by 7 places
+0.003
11thallowed
54.5%
1st
Pass success rate
CIN offense by 8 places
44.1%
9thallowed
7.9%
11th
Explosive pass rate
Even · same rank
6.9%
11thallowed
4.6%
8th
Sack rate
CIN offense by 12 places
5.9%
20thmade
Rushing
−0.133
22nd
Rush EPA / play
ATL defense by 9 places
−0.102
13thallowed
41.1%
14th
Run success rate
CIN offense by 8 places
42.0%
22ndallowed
9.2%
22nd
Explosive run rate
Even · 2 places apart
11.3%
20thallowed
15.7%
9th
Stuff rate
CIN offense by 8 places
17.6%
17thmade
Turnovers
12.3%
18th
Turnovers
Even · same rank
11.1%
18thtakeaways
Downs
+0.065
10th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
Even · 2 places apart
−0.062
8thallowed
+0.305
2nd
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
CIN offense by 14 places · clear edge
+0.038
16thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

CIN offense over ATL defense

Explosive pass11th v 11thPass success1st v 9thSacks8th v 20thTurnovers18th v 18thStuffs9th v 17thRun success14th v 22ndExplosive run22nd v 20th
  • CIN offense
  • ATL defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 4, defense on 0, 3 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the grey ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Cincinnati Bengals
QBCIN
Joe Burrow
EPA / dropback
+0.24
CPOE
+9.0
Pass yards
2,115
TD–INT
20-6
RBCIN
Chase Brown
Carries
94
Rush yards
340
EPA / carry
−0.17
Success
37.2%
RBCIN
Samaje Perine
Carries
35
Rush yards
136
EPA / carry
−0.06
Success
45.7%
WRCIN
Tee Higgins
Targets
61
Rec yards
726
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.87
WRCIN
Ja'Marr Chase
Targets
61
Rec yards
492
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.46
TECIN
Mike Gesicki
Targets
24
Rec yards
241
TD
6
EPA / target
+0.79
WRCIN
Dohnte Meyers
Targets
23
Rec yards
175
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.12
Atlanta Falcons
QBATL
Michael Penix Jr.
EPA / dropback
0.00
CPOE
−4.3
Pass yards
1,282
TD–INT
9-5
RBATL
Bijan Robinson
Carries
150
Rush yards
780
EPA / carry
−0.03
Success
44.7%
RBATL
Brian Robinson
Carries
53
Rush yards
211
EPA / carry
+0.05
Success
41.5%
WRATL
Drake London
Targets
62
Rec yards
624
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.38
TEATL
Kyle Pitts
Targets
32
Rec yards
197
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.06
WRATL
Jahan Dotson
Targets
30
Rec yards
337
TD
2
EPA / target
−0.18
WRATL
Olamide Zaccheaus
Targets
13
Rec yards
21
TD
0
EPA / target
−0.96

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (CIN has played 7 games, ATL 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.