Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles

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HOUTexans2-5 · away
ATWeek 16Thu Dec 24 · 8:15 PM ET
PHIEagles2-6 · home
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HOU OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

PHI DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.033
13th
EPA / play
HOU offense by 16 places · clear edge
+0.094
29thallowed
43.5%
15th
Success rate
HOU offense by 8 places
45.4%
23rdallowed
Passing
+0.141
12th
Pass EPA / play
HOU offense by 12 places
+0.149
24thallowed
48.6%
11th
Pass success rate
HOU offense by 8 places
46.7%
T-19thallowed
9.2%
5th
Explosive pass rate
HOU offense by 22 places · clear edge
8.8%
27thallowed
5.7%
11th
Sack rate
HOU offense by 21 places · clear edge
3.5%
32ndmade
Rushing
−0.167
25th
Rush EPA / play
HOU offense by 6 places
+0.018
31stallowed
34.0%
28th
Run success rate
Weakness on weakness · 1 place apart
43.6%
29thallowed
8.8%
24th
Explosive run rate
PHI defense by 8 places
10.3%
16thallowed
21.2%
26th
Stuff rate
Even · 2 places apart
16.4%
24thmade
Turnovers
4.0%
2nd
Turnovers
HOU offense by 30 places · clear edge
4.5%
32ndtakeaways
Downs
+0.074
7th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
HOU offense by 11 places
+0.026
18thallowed
−0.121
23rd
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
HOU offense by 6 places
+0.302
29thallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

HOU offense over PHI defense

Explosive pass5th v 27thPass success11th v T-19thSacks11th v 32ndTurnovers2nd v 32ndStuffs26th v 24thRun success28th v 29thExplosive run24th v 16th
  • HOU offense
  • PHI defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 4, defense on 1, 2 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Houston Texans
QBHOU
C.J. Stroud
EPA / dropback
+0.14
CPOE
+2.3
Pass yards
1,867
TD–INT
11-1
RBHOU
Woody Marks
Carries
77
Rush yards
271
EPA / carry
−0.18
Success
33.8%
RBHOU
David Montgomery
Carries
52
Rush yards
138
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
25.0%
TEHOU
Dalton Schultz
Targets
43
Rec yards
322
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.23
WRHOU
Xavier Hutchinson
Targets
40
Rec yards
258
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.04
WRHOU
Nico Collins
Targets
35
Rec yards
329
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.57
WRHOU
Jaylin Noel
Targets
23
Rec yards
331
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.80
Philadelphia Eagles
QBPHI
Jalen Hurts
EPA / dropback
−0.05
CPOE
−2.2
Pass yards
933
TD–INT
8-3
RBPHI
Saquon Barkley
Carries
56
Rush yards
274
EPA / carry
+0.02
Success
39.3%
RBPHI
Dameon Pierce
Carries
37
Rush yards
96
EPA / carry
−0.16
Success
37.8%
WRPHI
Makai Lemon
Targets
45
Rec yards
251
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.07
WRPHI
DeVonta Smith
Targets
41
Rec yards
310
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.02
TEPHI
Dallas Goedert
Targets
35
Rec yards
258
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.26
WRPHI
Dontayvion Wicks
Targets
32
Rec yards
284
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.50

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (HOU has played 7 games, PHI 8). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.