Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

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JAXJaguars5-2 · away
ATWeek 15Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET
HOUTexans2-5 · home
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JAX OFFENSEwhat it does

The red marker slides toward the unit with the better league rank. The farther from the middle, the bigger the rank gap.

HOU DEFENSEwhat it allows
Overall
+0.121
3rd
EPA / play
JAX offense by 19 places · clear edge
+0.047
22ndallowed
46.4%
9th
Success rate
Even · 1 place apart
41.9%
8thallowed
Passing
+0.223
5th
Pass EPA / play
JAX offense by 17 places · clear edge
+0.103
22ndallowed
49.4%
9th
Pass success rate
HOU defense by 6 places
41.5%
3rdallowed
10.5%
2nd
Explosive pass rate
JAX offense by 30 places · clear edge
10.1%
32ndallowed
6.1%
15th
Sack rate
HOU defense by 9 places
7.9%
6thmade
Rushing
−0.005
6th
Rush EPA / play
JAX offense by 21 places · clear edge
−0.045
27thallowed
42.7%
11th
Run success rate
JAX offense by 15 places · clear edge
42.5%
26thallowed
10.4%
16th
Explosive run rate
HOU defense by 10 places
8.6%
6thallowed
14.7%
4th
Stuff rate
JAX offense by 26 places · clear edge
13.6%
30thmade
Turnovers
7.0%
7th
Turnovers
JAX offense by 21 places · clear edge
8.0%
28thtakeaways
Downs
+0.107
4th
Early downs EPA (1st–2nd)
JAX offense by 17 places · clear edge
+0.033
21stallowed
+0.185
9th
Late downs EPA (3rd–4th)
JAX offense by 13 places · clear edge
+0.105
22ndallowed

SHAPE VS SHAPE

JAX offense over HOU defense

Explosive pass2nd v 32ndPass success9th v 3rdSacks15th v 6thTurnovers7th v 28thStuffs4th v 30thRun success11th v 26thExplosive run16th v 6th
  • JAX offense
  • HOU defense
  • middle of the league

Of the 7 spokes: offense is 5+ places higher on 4, defense on 3, 0 within 4 places.

Both shapes are drawn by league rank, so the outer ring is 1st on every spoke and the amber ring is the middle of the league. Where the solid shape reaches past the dashed one, the offense ranks higher. Each label shows offense rank v defense rank.

MAIN PLAYERS

Jacksonville Jaguars
QBJAX
Trevor Lawrence
EPA / dropback
+0.28
CPOE
+3.9
Pass yards
1,690
TD–INT
17-4
RBJAX
Bhayshul Tuten
Carries
110
Rush yards
492
EPA / carry
0.00
Success
41.8%
RBJAX
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Carries
45
Rush yards
209
EPA / carry
+0.12
Success
44.4%
WRJAX
Parker Washington
Targets
48
Rec yards
432
TD
4
EPA / target
+0.45
TEJAX
Brenton Strange
Targets
35
Rec yards
334
TD
1
EPA / target
+0.40
WRJAX
Jakobi Meyers
Targets
31
Rec yards
309
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.55
WRJAX
Brian Thomas Jr.
Targets
21
Rec yards
117
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.26
Houston Texans
QBHOU
C.J. Stroud
EPA / dropback
+0.14
CPOE
+2.3
Pass yards
1,867
TD–INT
11-1
RBHOU
Woody Marks
Carries
77
Rush yards
271
EPA / carry
−0.18
Success
33.8%
RBHOU
David Montgomery
Carries
52
Rush yards
138
EPA / carry
−0.35
Success
25.0%
TEHOU
Dalton Schultz
Targets
43
Rec yards
322
TD
0
EPA / target
+0.23
WRHOU
Xavier Hutchinson
Targets
40
Rec yards
258
TD
1
EPA / target
−0.04
WRHOU
Nico Collins
Targets
35
Rec yards
329
TD
3
EPA / target
+0.57
WRHOU
Jaylin Noel
Targets
23
Rec yards
331
TD
2
EPA / target
+0.80

Every rank is among all 32 teams in 2026, through Week 8 (JAX has played 7 games, HOU 7). A defense is ranked on what its opponents did, so allowing less ranks higher; for sacks, takeaways and stuffs, making more ranks higher.

Tied teams share a place here, as on the team radars (T-7th and T-7th, then 9th). The Team Stats table numbers its rows one by one, so a tied team can carry a different number there.

An edge only compares two season ranks: defense rank minus offense rank. 0 to 4 places apart is called even, 5 to 12 a lean, 13 or more a clear edge. It is not a prediction and not a win probability.

These numbers add up every game’s box score, the same play filter as Team Stats and the team radars. A team’s EPA/play here can differ from the figure in its team page header and on Team Tiers, which count plays differently.

Every rate adds up the team’s box scores for the season. A pass play is any dropback, including sacks and scrambles. QB scrambles of 10+ yards count as explosive runs but not as designed runs, so a team with long scrambles can run high on Explosive run.

Stuff rate leaves out kneel-downs, two-point tries and runs wiped out by a penalty; Run success and Explosive run keep two-point tries and penalty-wiped runs, as the Team Stats page does.

Explosive plays are completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+ (QB scrambles count as runs). The rush explosive rate divides by designed runs only, so a team with long scrambles can run high.

Sacks ÷ (pass attempts + sacks) · Turnovers ÷ drives · Runs for no gain or a loss ÷ designed runs

Players: the quarterback with the most dropbacks, the two backs with the most carries and the four wide receivers or tight ends with the most targets. A traded player is listed with the team he has played most for. Names open the player page.